Freezing Lake

Use conduction, latent heat and mass conservation to find how quickly lake ice grows, why its final thickness is finite, and why the water remains stably layered.

Before you begin

You should know conduction through a slab, latent heat, conservation of mass and the density variation of water near \(4\,{}^\circ\mathrm{C}\). The early growth extension uses elementary integration.

Heat escapes through the ice, while the warmer lake bed supplies heat from below. The difference between these two heat flows determines whether the ice grows or melts. We will use this balance to find the initial growth rate and the final thickness.

The problem

At the instant considered, a large flat freshwater lake has a uniform ice sheet of thickness \(d_0=1.0\,\mathrm{cm}\) above liquid water of depth \(H_0=5.0\,\mathrm{m}\). A large cold reservoir holds the upper ice surface at \(T_s=-10\,{}^\circ\mathrm{C}\). A large warm reservoir holds the lake bed at \(T_b=4.0\,{}^\circ\mathrm{C}\). The ice–water interface is at \(T_m=0\,{}^\circ\mathrm{C}\).

PropertyLiquid waterIce
Conductivity \(\kappa\)\(0.57\,\mathrm{W\,m^{-1}\,K^{-1}}\)\(2.2\,\mathrm{W\,m^{-1}\,K^{-1}}\)
Density \(\rho\)\(999\,\mathrm{kg\,m^{-3}}\)\(920\,\mathrm{kg\,m^{-3}}\)
Specific heat capacity \(c\)\(4200\,\mathrm{J\,kg^{-1}\,K^{-1}}\)\(2100\,\mathrm{J\,kg^{-1}\,K^{-1}}\)

The latent heat of fusion is \(L_f=3.30\times10^5\,\mathrm{J\,kg^{-1}}\). For a slab, conduction power is \(P=\kappa A\Delta T/\ell\), where \(A\) is its face area and \(\ell\) is its thickness.

Assume vertical heat flow and use the quasi-steady approximation: each layer has a linear temperature profile at the instant considered. In the leading energy balance, retain latent heat but neglect changing sensible heat stored in the layers and work against gravity. Neglect evaporation, sublimation and sideways heat flow.

The horizontal area and total mass of water plus ice remain fixed. The ice surface may rise as freezing proceeds. Ignore water convection, then justify this in part c.

Part a. Find the initial rate of increase of the ice thickness.

Part b. Find the final ice thickness if both boundary temperatures are maintained for a long time.

Part c. Explain why buoyancy-driven convection can be neglected in the water.

Part a Initial growth of the ice

Identify both heat fluxes

Let \(d\) be the current ice thickness and \(H\) the remaining water depth. Take upward heat flux as positive. Heat leaves the interface through the ice, but heat also reaches it through the warmer water below.

Ice lies above liquid water. The surface is at minus 10 degrees Celsius, the interface at zero, and the bed at 4. Both heat flux arrows point upward: ji leaves the interface through ice and jw reaches it through water.
Figure 1. Both heat fluxes point upward: \(j_{\mathrm{i}}\) removes heat from the interface, and \(j_{\mathrm{w}}\) brings heat to it. The thicknesses \(d\) and \(H\) are not to scale, and arrow lengths do not represent flux magnitudes. During freezing, the interface descends and the upper surface rises.

The temperature differences across the ice and water are \(\Delta T_{\mathrm{i}}=10\,\mathrm{K}\) and \(\Delta T_{\mathrm{w}}=4.0\,\mathrm{K}\). Conduction gives

\[ j_{\mathrm{i}}=\frac{\kappa_{\mathrm{i}}\Delta T_{\mathrm{i}}}{d}, \qquad j_{\mathrm{w}}=\frac{\kappa_{\mathrm{w}}\Delta T_{\mathrm{w}}}{H}. \tag{1}\]

At the stated initial thicknesses,

\[ j_{\mathrm{i},0}=\frac{(2.2\,\mathrm{W\,m^{-1}\,K^{-1}})(10\,\mathrm{K})}{0.010\,\mathrm{m}} =2200\,\mathrm{W\,m^{-2}}, \tag{2}\]
\[ j_{\mathrm{w},0}=\frac{(0.57\,\mathrm{W\,m^{-1}\,K^{-1}})(4.0\,\mathrm{K})}{5.0\,\mathrm{m}} =0.456\,\mathrm{W\,m^{-2}}. \tag{3}\]

Use the difference to find the freezing rate

If the ice thickens by \(\mathrm{d}d\) over area \(A\), the newly formed ice has mass \(\rho_{\mathrm{i}}A\,\mathrm{d}d\). Freezing releases latent heat \(\rho_{\mathrm{i}}AL_f\,\mathrm{d}d\). The interface energy balance is

\[ j_{\mathrm{i}}A\,\mathrm{d}t=j_{\mathrm{w}}A\,\mathrm{d}t+\rho_{\mathrm{i}}AL_f\,\mathrm{d}d. \tag{4}\]

Therefore,

\[ \frac{\mathrm{d}d}{\mathrm{d}t}=\frac{j_{\mathrm{i}}-j_{\mathrm{w}}}{\rho_{\mathrm{i}}L_f}. \tag{5}\]

At the initial instant,

\[ \left(\frac{\mathrm{d}d}{\mathrm{d}t}\right)_0 =\frac{(2200-0.456)\,\mathrm{W\,m^{-2}}} {(920\,\mathrm{kg\,m^{-3}})(3.30\times10^5\,\mathrm{J\,kg^{-1}})} =7.245\times10^{-6}\,\mathrm{m\,s^{-1}}. \tag{6}\]

The initial growth rate is approximately \(2.6\,\mathrm{cm\,h^{-1}}\).

The water supplies only about \(0.021\%\) of the initial ice flux, so omitting it changes little here. We must still identify this incoming heat; it becomes essential in part b.

Which density should we use? The question asks for the thickness of newly formed ice, so use \(\rho_{\mathrm{i}}\). The downward speed of the interface is \(\mu\,\mathrm{d}d/\mathrm{d}t\), where \(\mu=\rho_{\mathrm{i}}/\rho_{\mathrm{w}}\). This is smaller than the growth rate of ice thickness because the upper surface also rises.

Part b The final ice thickness

Conserve mass rather than total depth

The density ratio is \(\mu=920/999\). Conservation of mass per unit horizontal area gives

\[ \rho_{\mathrm{w}}H+\rho_{\mathrm{i}}d =\rho_{\mathrm{w}}H_0+\rho_{\mathrm{i}}d_0. \tag{7}\]

Hence

\[ H=H_0-\mu(d-d_0)=D-\mu d, \tag{8}\]

where

\[ D=H_0+\mu d_0 =\left[5.0+\frac{920}{999}(0.010)\right]\mathrm{m} =5.009209\,\mathrm{m}. \tag{9}\]

The quantity \(D\) is the depth that the conserved mass would occupy if it were all liquid. It is not the physical depth \(H+d\). Ice is less dense than water, so the physical depth increases as freezing proceeds.

Make the interface stationary

At the final thickness, heat arriving at the interface equals heat leaving it:

\[ \frac{\kappa_{\mathrm{i}}\Delta T_{\mathrm{i}}}{d_{\mathrm{eq}}} =\frac{\kappa_{\mathrm{w}}\Delta T_{\mathrm{w}}}{H_{\mathrm{eq}}}. \tag{10}\]

Thus

\[ H_{\mathrm{eq}} =\frac{\kappa_{\mathrm{w}}\Delta T_{\mathrm{w}}} {\kappa_{\mathrm{i}}\Delta T_{\mathrm{i}}}\,d_{\mathrm{eq}} =\frac{2.28}{22.0}\,d_{\mathrm{eq}}. \tag{11}\]

Combine this with the mass balance to obtain

\[ d_{\mathrm{eq}} =\frac{\kappa_{\mathrm{i}}\Delta T_{\mathrm{i}}\,D} {\kappa_{\mathrm{w}}\Delta T_{\mathrm{w}}+\mu\kappa_{\mathrm{i}}\Delta T_{\mathrm{i}}}. \tag{12}\]

Numerically,

\[ d_{\mathrm{eq}} =\frac{(22.0\,\mathrm{W\,m^{-1}})(5.009209\,\mathrm{m})} {[2.28+(920/999)(22.0)]\,\mathrm{W\,m^{-1}}} =4.8891\,\mathrm{m}. \tag{13}\]

The final ice thickness is approximately \(4.89\,\mathrm{m}\). The remaining liquid depth and the common heat flux are

\[ H_{\mathrm{eq}}=0.5067\,\mathrm{m}, \qquad j_{\mathrm{eq}}=\frac{22.0\,\mathrm{W\,m^{-1}}}{4.8891\,\mathrm{m}} \simeq4.50\,\mathrm{W\,m^{-2}}. \tag{14}\]

About half a metre of liquid remains. The lake does not freeze completely in this ideal model because the bed continues to supply heat.

Check the expansion and the continuing heat flow

The total final depth is \(d_{\mathrm{eq}}+H_{\mathrm{eq}}=5.3958\,\mathrm{m}\), compared with \(5.0100\,\mathrm{m}\) initially. The upper surface rises by approximately \(0.386\,\mathrm{m}\). Imposing a constant total depth would incorrectly prevent this expansion.

Although the interface is stationary, heat still flows upward at \(4.50\,\mathrm{W\,m^{-2}}\). This is a steady state with heat transfer, not thermal equilibrium at one temperature.

Part c Stable water layers

Why warmer water stays below colder water

Fresh water has its greatest density close to \(4\,{}^\circ\mathrm{C}\). Between \(0\,{}^\circ\mathrm{C}\) and \(4\,{}^\circ\mathrm{C}\), warming increases its density.

Here, water near the ice is at \(0\,{}^\circ\mathrm{C}\) and water at the bed is at \(4\,{}^\circ\mathrm{C}\). Denser water is already below less dense water. Exchanging two layers would put denser water higher and increase gravitational potential energy. This is a stable arrangement.

The temperature difference therefore does not drive the overturning convection familiar in water above \(4\,{}^\circ\mathrm{C}\) heated from below. In the stated model, heat passes through the water by conduction. The constant density used in the mass calculation is a numerical approximation; the qualitative density variation determines stability.

Why the final ice thickness is also stable

This is a separate argument about freezing and melting. Conservation of mass fixes \(H=D-\mu d\), so

\[ j_{\mathrm{i}}(d)=\frac{\kappa_{\mathrm{i}}\Delta T_{\mathrm{i}}}{d}, \qquad j_{\mathrm{w}}(d)=\frac{\kappa_{\mathrm{w}}\Delta T_{\mathrm{w}}}{D-\mu d}. \tag{15}\]

As the ice thickens, its conduction path becomes longer and \(j_{\mathrm{i}}\) decreases. The remaining water becomes shallower and \(j_{\mathrm{w}}\) increases.

The ice flux decreases with ice thickness while the water flux increases. They meet at 4.89 metres and about 4.50 watts per square metre. The graph covers 3.5 to 5.2 metres, not the initial one-centimetre thickness.
Figure 2. Calculated heat fluxes near the final thickness. Their intersection is \(d_{\mathrm{eq}}\simeq4.89\,\mathrm{m}\) and \(j_{\mathrm{eq}}\simeq4.50\,\mathrm{W\,m^{-2}}\). The initial \(1\,\mathrm{cm}\) ice layer lies outside the plotted range. This compares possible thicknesses, not elapsed times.

If the ice is slightly thinner than its final thickness, \(j_{\mathrm{i}}>j_{\mathrm{w}}\) and excess heat removal causes further freezing. If it is slightly thicker, \(j_{\mathrm{i}}<j_{\mathrm{w}}\) and excess incoming heat causes melting. Both changes move the thickness back toward \(d_{\mathrm{eq}}\).

Keep the two balances distinct. Equal heat fluxes describe the stationary interface in part b. During freezing, their difference accounts for latent heat released per unit area per second:

\[ j_{\mathrm{i}}-j_{\mathrm{w}}=\rho_{\mathrm{i}}L_f\frac{\mathrm{d}d}{\mathrm{d}t}. \tag{16}\]

Extension How the freezing rate changes

The early growth law

While the water flux is much smaller than the ice flux, the leading balance becomes

\[ \rho_{\mathrm{i}}L_f\frac{\mathrm{d}d}{\mathrm{d}t} \simeq\frac{\kappa_{\mathrm{i}}\Delta T_{\mathrm{i}}}{d}. \tag{17}\]

Multiply by \(d\) and integrate from the initial thickness:

\[ \frac{1}{2}(d^2-d_0^2) \simeq\frac{\kappa_{\mathrm{i}}\Delta T_{\mathrm{i}}}{\rho_{\mathrm{i}}L_f}\,t. \tag{18}\]

Therefore,

\[ d(t)\simeq\sqrt{d_0^2+ \frac{2\kappa_{\mathrm{i}}\Delta T_{\mathrm{i}}}{\rho_{\mathrm{i}}L_f}\,t}. \tag{19}\]

Once the increase in squared thickness is much larger than \(d_0^2\), thickness grows approximately as \(\sqrt{t}\) rather than as \(t\). The increasing conduction path slows the heat loss.

For growth from \(1.0\,\mathrm{cm}\) to \(2.0\,\mathrm{cm}\), the same leading model gives

\[ t\simeq \frac{(920\,\mathrm{kg\,m^{-3}})(3.30\times10^5\,\mathrm{J\,kg^{-1}})} {2(2.2\,\mathrm{W\,m^{-1}\,K^{-1}})(10\,\mathrm{K})} \left[(0.020\,\mathrm{m})^2-(0.010\,\mathrm{m})^2\right]. \tag{20}\]
\[ t\simeq2070\,\mathrm{s}=34.5\,\mathrm{min}. \tag{21}\]
The early square-root growth curve reaches two centimetres at 34.5 minutes. Extending the initial rate as a straight line would predict faster growth. Both curves begin at one centimetre at time zero.
Figure 3. Early growth from \(1\,\mathrm{cm}\), neglecting the small water flux in the square-root model. The marked point is \(d=2\,\mathrm{cm}\) at \(t=34.5\,\mathrm{min}\). The dashed line keeps the initial rate constant and overestimates subsequent growth. Neither curve describes the approach to the final thickness.

Using the initial rate as a constant would give only about \(23\,\mathrm{min}\). The square-root estimate accounts for the changing conduction path. Do not extrapolate it to the final thickness, where the water heat flux is no longer negligible.

What the approximation includes

The main answers use the prescribed quasi-steady, latent-heat model. The “initial” rate refers to the stated layer thicknesses with linear temperature profiles already assumed. It is not the instantaneous response to a sudden change in surface temperature.

The supplied specific heat capacities matter in a more detailed transient treatment because temperatures within both layers change as the interface moves. They do not enter the leading calculation here. Adding an isolated sensible-heat term to the latent heat does not give an exact transient solution: the temperature profiles and heat fluxes must also be refined.

Points to remember

Subtract heat arriving through the water from heat leaving through the ice.

Convert freezing mass to ice thickness using the ice density.

Conserve total mass and allow the physical depth to increase.

At the final thickness, freezing stops but heat flow continues.

Distinguish stability of the water layers from stability of the ice thickness.

Sources and further reading

The source problem is USAPhO 2016, Part A, Question A4. See the AAPT question paper, PDF page 6, and official solutions, PDF pages 11 to 13.

All three original tasks and numerical data are retained in fresh wording, with the leading approximation stated explicitly. The selected handout’s expansion check, flux comparison and early growth calculation are also retained. All three scientific figures are independently prepared. The early growth plot compares that calculation with a constant initial rate.